Karnataka may throw up a hung assembly; BJP single largest party: Opinion Poll
According to the survey, BJP is set to win seats ranging between 89-95 while the incumbent Congress party is likely to win anywhere between 85-91 seats.
According to the survey, BJP is set to win seats ranging between 89-95 while the incumbent Congress party is likely to win anywhere between 85-91 seats. This indicates the opposition BJP holds the edge in the southern state. Deve Gowda led JDS is projected to win 32-38 seats and may emerge as the kingmaker in the tightly contested elections. Other parties including the independents may gather seats ranging between 6-12.
When enquired about the voting intention, 37% have gone in favour of Congress while 35% have tilted towards the BJP. JDS has got 20%.
Siddaramaiah has attracted 30% votes of respondents who believe should continue as the next chief minister if Congress comes to power. Not far behind is BS Yeddyurappa who is preferred by 25% of the total respondents. HD Kumaraswamy is at a distant third with 20% votes.
27% are satisfied with Siddaramaiah’s performance while Modi government’s performance at the Centre is liked by 25%.
According to the survey, 51% of the respondents have a strong desire for changing the State government despite a positive assessment of its performance. This statistic is worrisome for the Congress which is seeking a second term in the state.
More findings of the survey
- Only strong satisfaction with Cong government’s performance is leading to a strong pro-incumbency sentiment, those moderately satisfied are more likely to want a change in government
- The anti-incumbency vote is seen getting divided between BJP and JDS.
- Another key finding - Narendra Modi liked more than Rahul Gandhi by respondents.
- Candidate consideration to be most important voting issue followed by development.
- The survey has found that the Lingayat issue is not determining Lingayat vote choice; those favoring separate religion status are favoring BJP even more. However, 3 in every 5 Lingayats support the idea of getting a separate religion status for their community.
- Nearly 3 in every 5 support idea of having a separate official flag of Karnataka
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